Who has the support of Busia voters as the 2027 General Election approaches? A new opinion poll has put incumbent Catherine Omanyo and former Woman Representative Florence Mutua in the spotlight.
The survey, conducted across all seven constituencies, offers a snapshot of voter sentiment and the issues respondents associate with their preferred candidate.
Busia Woman Representative Catherine Omanyo leads former officeholder Florence Mutua in a new opinion poll by Bobea Research & Insights, recording 72% support among respondents surveyed across Busia County.
The findings, dated October 7, 2026, are contained in the firm's Bobea Countywide Tracker, which examined voter preferences in the race for the Busia County Woman Representative seat.
According to the poll, Mutua follows with 25%, while 3% of respondents fall into the undecided or other category.
Omanyo records 72% in Bobea poll
The figures released by Bobea Research & Insights are:
Catherine Omanyo — 72%
Florence Mutua — 25%
Undecided/others — 3%
The poll places Omanyo 47 percentage points ahead of Mutua among the preferences reported by the research firm.
Bobea says it interviewed 382 respondents across all seven constituencies in Busia County, with the sample distributed proportionally to reflect the county's voter population.
Why respondents say they support Omanyo
According to the report, respondents who expressed support for Omanyo cited several reasons for their preference.
These included her development record, leadership style, party affiliation, and satisfaction with her performance in office.
The report states that many respondents viewed her development record positively, while others pointed to her leadership approach and political party as factors influencing their choices.
Bobea Research described the findings as follows:
“The 72% rating is one of the highest we have recorded in the county races. It is anchored on visible development and a leadership style that resonates strongly with the grassroots.”
These explanations reflect the reasons cited in the report and have not been independently verified.
Florence Mutua records 25%
Former Busia Woman Representative Florence Mutua registered 25% support in the survey, placing her behind the incumbent in the reported countywide figures.
The poll does not provide constituency-by-constituency results or a breakdown showing how respondents' reasons for supporting each candidate were distributed.
It also does not include a reported margin of error or confidence level in the information provided.
What the findings show
The Bobea tracker presents a snapshot of preferences among the 382 respondents surveyed, with Omanyo at 72%, Mutua at 25% and 3% undecided or supporting other options.
While the reported gap between the two named candidates is 47 percentage points, the findings should not be treated as a prediction of the eventual election outcome.
Voter preferences may change as the political contest develops, campaigns progress and candidates engage with residents across Busia County.
