Only a third of Kenyans expect 2026 to be better than 2025, according to new data from Infotrak Research and Consulting.
The findings highlight a cautious public mood as the country looks ahead to the new year.
Just 29 per cent of respondents said they believe 2026 will be better than 2025, meaning fewer than one in three Kenyans are optimistic about the year ahead.
A significant 30 per cent of those surveyed said they do not know what to expect from 2026.
“This suggests many Kenyans are unsure whether conditions will improve, remain the same, or deteriorate,” the poll notes.
Another 25 per cent of respondents believe 2026 will be the same as 2025, indicating that this group does not expect major change, either positive or negative.
A smaller but notable share, 16 per cent, said they expect 2026 to be worse than 2025.
Taken together, the figures paint a picture of limited optimism, with those expecting improvement forming a minority.
The comparison between optimism and pessimism is also telling: while 29 per cent believe 2026 will be better, only 16 per cent think it will be worse.
The 25 per cent who expect the year to remain the same further reinforces this cautious outlook.
The poll was conducted on December 19-20, 2025, using Computer-Assisted Telephone Interviews (CATI).
The survey sample included 1,000 adult Kenyans aged 18 and above, designed using Population Proportionate to Size (PPS) guided by the 2019 Census.
The survey achieved a margin of error of ±3.10 per cent at a 95 per cent degree of confidence.
Where interviews differed slightly from the intended demographic proportions, the dataset was weighted to ensure national representativeness.
The survey covered all 47 counties and eight regions of Kenya, with data processed and analysed using SPSS 27 statistical software for accuracy and reliability.
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